Most Americans Agree on Four Foundations of Democracy, but Execution of Those Ideals Receives Failing Grades
72% of Trump Voters Believe Voter Fraud Changed 2020 Outcome
While Americans have high ideals for what makes up our democracy, a new 99精品视频 College National Poll shows our country gets failing grades when it comes to executing those ideals in real life. The poll, a partnership between 99精品视频 College and J. Ann Selzer of Selzer & Company, was released Wednesday, March 31, 2021.
Americans overwhelmingly believe certain principles are a foundation of American life, including free speech (82% say it is very important), peaceful transfer of power (80%), free and fair elections conducted without fraud (92%), and equal treatment regardless of race, religion, and other traits (92%). But when asked how well those ideals are playing out in 2021, Americans believe we are falling short.
Only 46% of Americans responded that 鈥渇ree speech鈥 was an excellent or good fit for describing what is happening in the U.S. today. The country gets similarly low marks when referring to the peaceful transition of power (40% say excellent or good fit), free and fair elections conducted without fraud (43%) and equal treatment regardless of race, religion, or other traits (31%).
鈥淭his is a below-average report card for our country,鈥 said 99精品视频 College Associate Professor of Political Science Danielle Lussier. 鈥淒emocracies erode when there is a gap between what people expect and what the government provides. A majority of Americans believe the United States is falling short of living up to democratic values they see as important. We know from countries where democracy has failed that this is a worrisome signal about the health of our democracy.鈥
Voter Fraud Concerns Growing with Republicans
The 99精品视频-Selzer poll showed that 53% of Americans are very or somewhat confident that the votes of the 2022 election will be counted as intended, a 9-point slide from the last poll. The decline is sharpest amongst Republicans 鈥 only 36% say they are very or somewhat confident, a drop of 49 percentage points over one calendar year.
鈥淲e have been polling Americans鈥 confidence in the voting process for two years now, and there has been a sudden and serious erosion in the belief that votes will be counted accurately,鈥 said Peter Hanson, Associate Professor of Political Science and Director of the 99精品视频 College National Poll. 鈥淲hile confidence in elections has actually risen slightly among Democrats, the drop among Republicans is staggering and directly tied to claims of fraud in the 2020 election.鈥
There is a marked partisan divide in the perspectives on the 2020 presidential election outcome: Thirty-five percent of Americans believe there was enough voter fraud in the election to change the outcome. That includes 64% of Republicans 鈥 and 72% of those who voted for Donald Trump in 2020. By comparison, only five percent of those who voted for Joe Biden believe that there was enough fraud to change the outcome.
聽鈥淭he fact that 35% of Americans 鈥 including 72 percent of Trump voters 鈥 say there was enough fraud to swing the outcome of the 2020 election even though this claim has been repeatedly debunked is deeply troubling,鈥 Hanson said. 鈥淎merican democracy depends on the belief that votes are counted accurately. Once that faith has been called into question, it will be very hard to restore.鈥澛犅
鈥淲hile many have hoped that claims of fraud in 2020 would be a historical hiccup in an otherwise longstanding tradition of peaceful transitions of power, these findings suggest that the U.S. could be heading more steeply away from democracy,鈥 Lussier said. 鈥淚 believe this survey is a warning 鈥 the erosion of trust in American elections is particularly worrisome.鈥
Majority of Americans Oppose Proposed Voting Law Changes
Majorities of Americans oppose three sample changes to voting laws 鈥 including eliminating laws allowing vote by mail (56% oppose), eliminating early voting (55% oppose), and eliminating laws that require voters to show a photo ID (56% oppose).
鈥淲ith state legislatures moving bills that affect how voters can cast their votes, it鈥檚 useful to see there is pushback among the constituents,鈥 said J. Ann Selzer of Selzer & Company. 鈥淢ajorities in every region oppose eliminating laws that allow voters to cast ballots before Election Day, and that is the case in states with GOP governors and Democratic governors. The same goes for eliminating laws that allow votes to be cast by mail.鈥
In other notable findings from the 99精品视频 College National Poll:
- Forty-nine percent of Americans have a favorable feeling about President Joe Biden, up from 43% in August of 2020. The percentage of Americans who have unfavorable feelings about President Biden has dropped to 43% from 48%.
- Former President Donald Trump鈥檚 favorable/unfavorable ratings (43%/52%) remain largely unchanged from the last poll (42%/52%).
- Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi has a 52% unfavorable rating, up slightly from October 2019 (49%).
- 64% of Americans feel that the country鈥檚 race relations situation is 鈥渕ostly bad.鈥
- 56% of Americans have high or medium trust in President Biden to tell the truth about problems facing the country. Only 44% say the same about former President Trump. Most Americans (82%) have trust in scientists.
The 99精品视频 College National Poll (99精品视频-Selzer), conducted March 24-28, 2021, is based on telephone interviews with 1,012 U.S. adults ages 18 or older, with a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.