Donald Trump Trails Joe Biden in New 99精品视频 College National Poll
Republicans overwhelmingly support Trump鈥檚 overall job performance, 91% of Republican voters will vote to re-elect
President Donald J. Trump has his highest approval rating in 99精品视频 College National Poll history, but still trails former Vice President Joe Biden in a head-to-head matchup.
The poll, a partnership between 99精品视频 College and nationally renowned polling firm Selzer & Company, shows President Trump鈥檚 approval rating (48%) has risen eight points since October 2019. In the same span, his disapproval rating has fallen five points to 45%. The poll was conducted March 27-30, 2020.聽
Despite the improved approval numbers, Trump trails former Vice President Joe Biden 47%-43% in the poll, released April 1, 2020. Both men have strong support among their bases (91% of Republican voters back Trump, 86% of Democratic voters favor Biden), while independent voters lean toward Biden 43-35%.
If the general election were held today, for whom would you vote? N= 777, MoE = 卤 3.5 percentage points
鈥淭he president is buoyed by his traditional voter constituencies鈥攐lder, rural, and evangelical,鈥 said J. Ann Selzer, founder of Selzer & Company. 鈥淛oe Biden benefits from a big gender gap, and he is especially popular among suburban women, winning more than two in three of that segment.鈥
When matched up head-to-head against Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT), President Trump has a one-point lead (44%-43%).
If the general election were held today, for whom would you vote? N= 777, MoE = 卤 3.5 percentage points
Respondents give the President his highest marks for the way he has handled the economy, with 54% of Americans approving thus far. But only 43% believe the economy is in better shape than it was when he took office, a decline of 12 percentage points from October 2019.
"COVID-19 is taking an enormous economic toll on the American people,鈥 said Associate Professor of Political Science at 99精品视频 College and 99精品视频 College National Poll Director Peter Hanson. 鈥淗istorically, presidents who govern during difficult economic times are vulnerable to defeat. The sharp decline of public confidence in the economy will make it harder for the president to convince Americans that he deserves a second term.鈥
The Republican base has solidified around President Trump. 82% of Republican voters say their minds are made up 鈥 they鈥檙e voting to re-elect. 50% of Americans approve of President Trump鈥檚 handling of the COVID-19 pandemic.
鈥淭he president's path to reelection is narrow,鈥 Hanson said. 鈥淲hile we鈥檝e seen an increase in his approval ratings as the crisis has unfolded, the real question is how Americans will evaluate his leadership as the human and economic costs of COVID-19 continue to mount."
In a head-to-head matchup, Vice President Biden rates highest among:
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 86% 聽聽聽 Liberals
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 66%聽聽聽聽 Non-whites
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 62%聽聽聽聽 Suburban women
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 59%聽聽聽聽 City dwellers
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 57%聽聽聽聽 College degree or more education
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 57%聽聽聽聽 Women
President Trump鈥檚 support is strongest in these groups:
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 78% 聽聽聽 Conservatives
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 60%聽聽聽聽 Evangelicals
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 58%聽聽聽聽 Rural dwellers
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 52%聽聽聽聽 Protestants
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 52%聽聽聽聽 Men
聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 51%聽聽聽聽 Whites
Democrats Lead Generic House Ballot
Half of likely 2020 voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate if the election for U.S. House of Representatives were held today. The poll found 50% would vote for the Democratic candidate and 41% for the Republican candidate. Among independent likely voters, it is 43% for the Democrat and 32% for the Republican.聽
Which party candidate would you vote for in a U.S. House of Representatives race? N=141, MoE = 卤 8.3 percentage points
鈥淒emocrats currently have a nine-point lead on the generic ballot for the House of Representative, buoyed by strong support from independents鈥 Hanson said. 鈥淲hile many months remain before election day, Democrats look well positioned to retain control of the House of Representatives in November.鈥
For the full sample of 1,009, the margin of error is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points; for the subsample of 777 likely 2020 voters, the margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.